Flat deck
Chinnaswamy, Wankhede
Captain pool. The ball comes on; yorkers are hard to score off. Wickets and economy bonuses compound.
Profile
Jasprit Bumrah
Death-over wickets and economy bonuses. The pace captain when the death is wet.
Profile
Form curve
Jasprit Bumrah's last five matches: 3/24 (4 overs), 2/31 (4 overs), 1/18 (3.4 overs), 4/22 (4 overs), 2/27 (4 overs). The economy across those matches is 6.7, with a strike rate of 16.4 balls per wicket. The form curve is steady-to-rising, with a clear peak in the fourth match.
The captain value is concentrated in the death overs and the powerplay. On a wet ball, Bumrah is the captain pool.
Open the points reference
Role notes
Death-overs wickets and economy bonuses.
1
Death-overs specialist with new-ball spells
Bumrah bowls two of his four overs at the death and two in the powerplay. The split means he is on the field for the highest-scoring phases of the innings.
2
Captain pool when the death is wet
When the death ball is wet (dew, slow surface), Bumrah is the captain pool. His yorker accuracy compounds the wicket points.
3
Vice-captain when the death is dry
When the death ball is dry (flat deck, no dew), the wicket count drops. Bumrah is the vice-captain pool.
Surface fit
Three surfaces and the captain read.
Slow turner
Chepauk, Lucknow
Vice-captain pool. The ball grips; the captain moves to the wrist-spinner.
Green seamer
Mohali, Arun Jaitley
Captain pool. The new ball moves; Bumrah's wicket count in the powerplay is the highest on the squad.
Related reading
What this page covers, in long form
A second pass through the topic with extra context, examples and the small habits the desk uses on its own teams.
Insight 01
Surface over form
The single biggest input to any fantasy cricket decision is the playing surface, not the recent form table. A dry Chepauk turner rewards a different XI than a flat Chinnaswamy track, and a green Mohali morning changes the captain pick again. Reading the pitch report the night before the toss is the highest-use habit a fantasy reader can build.
Insight 02
Captain over eleven
The captain pick is worth more than the eleven. A captain who scores 40 with two boundaries earns 96 fantasy points before any milestone bonus; the same innings from a non-captain earns 48. The captain multiplier is where most of the season's variance is decided, and the captain pick should be made after reading the surface, not before.
Insight 03
Bankroll beats picks
The desk's strongest readers win not because of better captain picks but because of better bankroll habits. A fixed stake per contest, three small contests instead of one big one, and a hard stop after three straight losses are the boring habits that keep readers in the contest long enough to learn.
A note on ownership
Ownership percentage is the most under-used input on a fantasy desk. In a large contest, the captain should rarely be the most-picked player. A captain who is owned by 8% of the contest and who fits the surface gives you a swing; a captain who is owned by 60% gives you no differential. Track ownership through the season, not just at the start.
Five reads the desk returns to
Articles, columns and references the desk keeps open in a browser tab through the season.
Match report
MI edge CSK in a 19-over chase
The desk's read on Tuesday's Wankhede fixture and what it means for the rest of the week.
Captain pick
Captain pick of the day
The 4-factor reasoning for tonight's captain pick: surface, form, match-up, role.
Pitch report
Chepauk reading: dry top, slow turn
What the surface looks like 90 minutes before toss, and the fantasy angle.
Team preview
Mumbai Indians: a rebuild on a flat deck
A new opening pair and a death-over reshuffle.
Three things to carry into the next page
A short reading-end summary for the desk's match-day readers.
1
The surface is the input
Read the pitch report before you read the line-up. The surface dictates the captain pool more reliably than the recent form table. A dry turner and a flat deck are different games; treat them as such.
2
The captain is the output
Pick the captain after the surface, form and match-up all point one way. If they do not point one way, pick the differential. The captain pick is the single biggest source of variance in any contest.
3
The bankroll is the discipline
Fixed stake per contest, three small contests instead of one big one, walk away after three losses. The boring habits are the ones that keep winners in the contest long enough to learn.
Editorial reminder
IPL Fantasy Score is an editorial publication. We do not run a paid fantasy platform; we publish coverage. The desk's habit is to describe the captain logic in plain language and let the reader decide. We do not promise winning teams. We publish reasoning.